Putin's War With Ukraine (and democracy, freedom, self-determination, etc.)

Discussion in 'SBAF Blogs' started by purr1n, Feb 25, 2022.

  1. Kernel Kurtz

    Kernel Kurtz Friend

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    I'm just waiting to see who is first to paint their rocket gold.
     
  2. purr1n

    purr1n Desire for betterer is endless.

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    This is interesting. Runs the gamut of opinions in Russia and consistent with my own experience. Some support, some are in denial, some are against, some are afraid, and some are too old and have seen it all.



    The grannie at the end was the best. She reminded me of my own grandmother (RIP) and her old Shanghai friend (RIP) who lived through it all how they felt about the Chinese Communists, Chinese Nationalists, and Japanese. As such, I give the Russian granny the most weight in my analysis of who really to believe.

    The first one is the most frightening, where the lady looks down, turns away, and walks off. We can hear her husband? off-camera say "let's go, let's go". It reminds me of my aunt's horrified reaction when I asked her as a 7 year old if the KMT / Nationalist Party of Taiwan was good (martial law / secret police shit was in effect then). I did this after listening in to secret pro-democracy meetings my grandfather and dad were involved in.
     
    Last edited: Mar 5, 2022
  3. purr1n

    purr1n Desire for betterer is endless.

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    Anyway, some more war footage. War in the social media age brings it closer to home. This footage is amazing but also disturbing because people are actually being killed.


    The rest of the helicopters start firing off defensive countermeasures, flares, after that first one is shot down into the water. I'm sure glad the Hollywood producers were smart enough to not forget little details like this.


    Wow, Industrial Light and Magic did a great job here. Just like a Transformers movie.
     
  4. Psalmanazar

    Psalmanazar Most improved member; A+

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    That’s because people like the Americans, Brits, Poles, Croats, Greeks, and Finns get it. Nice stuff and freedom is bought not by creating imagined philosophical universals but but by fighting for it.

    The Brits had jack shit until they started massive civil wars that in effect ended the King as the owner of everything (the Anarchy), the right of the king to shit in your bed (John), the end of medieval England (the war of the roses), the whole English civil war where the king was eventually executed for using the people’s money against the people, the Glorious Revolution, Napoleonic Wars, and the World Wars that sacrificed their empire to not speak German.

    meanwhile the Irish won their freedom by literally shooting enough Brits in the head at a rate that the British public and parliament couldn’t bare and couldn’t kill the IRA in return. The Wind that Shakes the Barley gets the gist of it right. The IRA was literally killing twice the amount of people as the Black and Tans.

    The American Revolution was won not by taking potshots but because the Americans literally wrecked two British field armies in conventional warfare, showed that the Hessians were not willing to die for England, and Parliament short of men was not willing to send more armies over to be destroyed in a hostile rebellious colony, especially when those guys could be kicking French ass in India.
    Kruschev said the Soviets lost a million men to take a small isthmus and a bunch of reindeer herders. He wasn’t exaggerating either. 400ish thousand dead, 500 something more casualties and permanently disabled because the Finns were ruthless. Mines and frostbite. Snipers shooting them in the limbs to lure the others out. They come out? All dead. Don’t come out and he straggled back? It’s just a lucky pot shot from somewhere. Some guy might have his arm bones and ligaments gone. Russia did it enough to only scare Finland into having a huge army for such a small country.
    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/44th_Rifle_Division
    From Kyiv. Was wiped out as a fighting unit with the survivors running away on foot in the snow
     
    Last edited: Mar 5, 2022
  5. Psalmanazar

    Psalmanazar Most improved member; A+

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    Yeltsin sold off the people’s assets to maintain political power. Russia right now can’t have a strong, large army because if your government sucks and your army is good, the army is much more likely to overthrow the state than it is to get conquered. It is not worth it for Russia to keep professional soldiers for too long or train conscripts better. Then some competent commander would realize that the problem is the oligarchs and Putin. because the obvious solution to that from guys well trained in efficiently killing people and blowing shit up would be full French Revolution

    A government is much much more likely to get overthrown by its own military than it is to be conquered. If Putin had an army that could steamroll one of the poorest countries in Europe, it would’ve already happened or he would be dead. Why do you think Saddam’s army wasn’t trained to use the nice stuff the US gave them in the 80s? The USSR leaders knew they could never go full Stalin again after the Red Army won the literally biggest war ever. Even Stalin himself, getting more paranoid than ever, didn’t launch another mass terror. He would’ve been killed. When he was ranting about the Jews, somehow he was given warfarin for his high blood pressure after a stroke…

    See every shitty Roman Emperor. How many of them got killed or captured in battle by a foreign army? I can think of 3: Valerian got capture by the Persians, Valens got killed by the Goths, and Constantine XI, the last one, charged the Turks rather than become their vassal. Then you have tons of shitty ones getting killed. Only about a fifth of them died a natural death and with only 3 killed by an enemy in battle yeah having the sickest army on the planet most of
    The time until 1000 something ad when the Macedonian dynasty ended (they were only not the best for like 600ish to 800 ish and were then back to being scary as hell. That’s like 1000 years of being the nastiest mofos around from like 200ish bc to 1000 something ad) didnt personally do Raging incompetent assholes much good. That nasty army would just kill them

    considering 1 was struck by lightning and others got literally killed by their mom… yeah 3 killed/captured in battle is statistically insignificant

    Edit: Julian got killed by a Persian spear too. So 4 out of a ton of them got killed by a foreign army.
     
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    Last edited: Mar 6, 2022
  6. james444

    james444 Mad IEM modding wizard level 99

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    You may be right or not about cancel culture / business, time will tell. Anyway, I don't like the way this seems to be going:
    • Kirill Petrenko (conductor, Berlin Philharmonic): "condemns Putin's aggression" > keeps job
    • Wladimir Jurowski (music director, Bawarian Opera) "plays Ukrainian anthem in concert" > keeps job
    • Semjon Bytschkow (conductor, Czech Philharmonic) "Putin must be held accountable" > keeps job
    • Waleri Gergijew (conductor, Munich Philharmonic) "fails to distance himself clearly" > sacked
    • Anna Netrebko (opera singer, Met and other venues) "lack of sufficient distancing" > banned
     
  7. Thad E Ginathom

    Thad E Ginathom Friend

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    Ahhh, yes! This is not heard very often. The simple truth that shows Putin as a murderous paranoid obsessive who is prepared to kill without limit to "protect" Russia from a risk that that was never there in the first place.
    I thought that was the whole point of the "free" world!

    On another tack...

    Putin has made proper reporting from within Russia impossible, as attempting it will result in jail. Reporters in Ukraine have (allegedly) been shot by Russians. Numbers and news is going to be massaged anyway, for all sorts of reasons, by the good,bad and indifferent.

    I saw a report that 11,000 Russian troops have died. I've been seeing Ukranian casualty figures only in the hundreds. I wonder if either of these is anything like true. The former would seem optimistic in terms of military achievement. The latter seems unlikely given the photographs we have seen of totally-destroyed apartment blocks.
    China doesn't seem to find the internet hard to censor. Is this because they built their Great Firewall of China into their connectivity from the start? Is it really hard to impose on a country from scratch? Any security pros can answer? @purr1n ?
     
  8. roshambo123

    roshambo123 Friend

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    The 11,000 killed claim is from the Ukrainian military, so grain of salt. Russia said 500, so we can be confident the number is no lower than that.
     
  9. YMO

    YMO Chief Fun Officer

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    [​IMG]
    [​IMG]

    Honestly posting something from another forum is rare even for me. Acting like a child with this attitude while HF also removes his post...I dunno if he "gets it." https://www.head-fi.org/threads/you-head-fi.962447/ Or here if it gets removed.

    People like that really rubs me the wrong way.

    Eh....Happy Sunday everyone.
     
    Last edited: Mar 6, 2022
  10. Thad E Ginathom

    Thad E Ginathom Friend

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    If I was him, I don't think I'd turn to the understand even if you don't agree forum.

    But hey, let's move on.
     
  11. purr1n

    purr1n Desire for betterer is endless.

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    You are worrying about it too much. As far as I am aware, the first three on the list weren't in photo ops with Putin, holding up flags of Novorossia, or saying dumb stuff equating homosexuals to pedophiles. I'm all for free speech, and the consequences of saying dumb stuff. Netrebko and Gergiev will be back in the West after a few years. In the meantime, there are great opera houses in Russia waiting for them. They aren't cancelled. They still have plenty of work.

    Right now, the word Putin is not simply Putin anymore. It means worse. Like Stalin-lite or Hitler-lite. Putin is bad word with bad ideas associated around it. I hear it as a verb, e.g. "Bro, don't Putin your neighbor" or "Don't Putin your company".

    I've voiced my concerns about the absurdity of NATO - how its member nations work against NATO, how our politicians in the West lacked the understanding of others to diffuse this situation, and the lack of pragmatism and overreliance on idealism all around. I've said what I needed to say and I am done. Putin went all in on the invasion and started killing people. Whether it's 12, 500, 11000, that can be argued on 4chan because one is too many. I'm not second guessing myself anymore. I'm 100% West / NATO / anti-Putin.
     
    Last edited: Mar 6, 2022
  12. Lyander

    Lyander Official SBAF Equitable Empathizer

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    Frankly, the fact that some might read this as anything but tongue-in-cheek makes me want to puke and shove faces into the ejecta.
     
  13. purr1n

    purr1n Desire for betterer is endless.

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    This is not a cybersecurity question. It's an economic and political question. Putin, since he thinks he is the smartest person in the room, wasn't smart enough to work like the Chinese Communist Collective. The Chinese government started very early with the Great Firewall in the 2000s. They purchased and developed the routers, Cisco and Huawei, that could effectively block and eavesdrop while maintaining high bandwidth necessary for modern communications. The hardware part really isn't a big deal and most US corporations do the same thing to lesser extent. The bigger aspect is China blocking out foreign services such as Google, FB, Twitter to develop their own: Baidu, Weibo, WeChat. These Chinese social media equivalents are required by the Communist Party to dedicate significant resources to censoring, spying, monitoring, etc. Basically China controls both hardware and software, started early, and forces companies to do their bidding. (Similar to the USA where banks must do the government's bidding with respect to BSA/AML/sanctions).

    Russia does have the hardware capability to do an Iron Firewall. The problem is that they don't have their own homegrown services. I'm pretty sure YouTube, Google, Instagram, Wikipedia, and Xvideos are up there in Russia. Don't some Russian politicians use Twitter to announce stuff? So this makes it hard to do an Iron Firewall. Even dictators need to worry about popular unrest. Internet keeps people happy when your country is 1/20 of its potential because it's run by kleptos.
     
    Last edited: Mar 6, 2022
  14. zerodeefex

    zerodeefex SBAF's Imelda Marcos

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    Let's be clear: Putin is waging war against us with disinformation. If people continue to post it here with no regard for warnings, we're going to ban them.

    Whether or not he ever realizes it, that dude was a mouthpiece for an enemy state's attempt to disrupt the US, EU and our allies.

    If you're too f'ing dumb to realize that random crap on 4chan is probably less trustworthy than the vast majority of news in your country just because you don't like what the news is saying, I feel sorry that you feel marginalized and your internal narrative is aligned with bullshit.

    However, if you choose to directly continue an attack from an enemy by posting that crap here, then we're going to ban you. f**k that traitor bullshit, even if it's unintentional.
     
  15. purr1n

    purr1n Desire for betterer is endless.

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    ^ Actually, even people on 4chan say the same thing, just with more colorful words.
     
    Last edited: Mar 6, 2022
  16. purr1n

    purr1n Desire for betterer is endless.

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    In reality, it's the other way around. VFX artists examine real footage to make their effects look realistic. I have no doubt that war footage I posted will be used a reference for VFX artists. Want to do realistic fire effects, hit YouTube for videos of burning buildings. Want to do a realistic looking scene of a helicopter being shot down by a Stinger: we got some good ones here.

    The thing is, these arguments of fakes are stupid. Even if it were true that two, five, or 33% of the videos were doctored as part of a super advanced propaganda campaign*, or that Zelenkskyy's plays it up with his pleas for help** ("propaganda"), it does not change the situation that we are in a war and people are dying. Unfortunate as it may be, it really is most of the world against Putin.

    *Good VFX costs a ton of money, with respect to artists, and rendering time. I guess "V"s could be photoshopped onto the tanks in the low quality footage. The most cost effective way of doing that is hiring an Indian VFX firm to paint the V into every frame.

    **What is he supposed to do, act like a boring statesman?
     
    Last edited: Mar 6, 2022
  17. Lyander

    Lyander Official SBAF Equitable Empathizer

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    Oh nah I'm aware that it's often worked backwards (I vaguely recall that the people that worked on Dead Space had to study images of car crash victims to make the monsters in the game), just that the mere fact VFX has gotten so good makes it easy for weirdness that's so blatant even my gullible butt can pick it out manages to fool some people.

    Tried looking for a specific video but tl;dr some relatives genuinely believed that there were gargoyles or demons invading the world after some random CGI student project went viral on old people Viber (no offence to present company intended). That's how low the bar is for this sorta stuff.
     
  18. Biodegraded

    Biodegraded Friend

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    We should be saying it the French way:

     
  19. Thad E Ginathom

    Thad E Ginathom Friend

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    This could be true. I saw the song about some guy taking a gargoyle out on a date, on YouTube.

    Oh wait... song. Hmmmm...
     
  20. BenjaminBore

    BenjaminBore Friend

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    It's sad really. People are conditioned to believe in the facade of a free and just society, and not educated to think critically or scrutinize. Once that belief is shook they don't have the tools to find the truth and have no awareness of the power structures of the world or their country. I guess this is where the vultures get them. Offering a nice warm blanket of palatable bias-prone deciept to wrap themselves. They assume it's true, simply because the other appears false, and it's always in broad strokes. Like "The Media" being clumped together. No room for differentiation or nuance, too complicated. People prefer simple lies to complicated truths.

    People are sheep, because they were raised to be.
     
    Last edited: Mar 6, 2022

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